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gus
12-01-2006, 10:17 AM
Analyst: "I cannot imagine a PlayStation 4"
Nomura Securities' Yuta Sakurai believes the PS3 will be Sony's last console; sees Hirai appointment as Sega-like shift to software.
By Tor Thorsen, GameSpot
Posted Dec 1, 2006 3:20 am GMT
In the months leading up to the launch of the PlayStation 3 and Wii, barely a week went by without one analyst or another issuing proclamations of doom or promises of riches for both Sony and Nintendo. Now that both consoles are on the market, many investment firms' in-house game-industry experts are giving their assessments of the two companies' fortunes.

The prognostication reached a fever pitch today, when Sony Computer Entertainment (SCE) shuffled its executive lineup. Sony Computer Entertainment America (SCEA) president Kaz Hirai took over the position of SCE president Ken Kutaragi, who was promoted to SCE chairman and retained the title of SCE group CEO. Hirai will also be SCE's chief operating officer, and will relocate to Sony's Tokyo headquarters from SCEA's HQ in Foster City, California.

While Sony spun the changes as a "strengthening" of its executive team, many analysts saw it as a vote of no confidence for Kutaragi's stewardship of the PlayStation 3. The high-tech console's blu-ray laser drive has been plagued by component manufacturing woes, which drastically limited supply of the console for its Japanese and North American launches, and delayed its European debut until 2007.

Some analysts went one step further, taking Hirai's succession as a harbinger of doom. No one was more pessimistic than Nomura Securities' Yuta Sakurai, who made the astounding prediction that the PlayStation 3 would be the last console Sony, the current console market-share leader, would ever make.

"The appointment of Hirai could be the start of a shift from hardware to software," said Sakurai. "I cannot now imagine a PlayStation 4." According to the Financial Times, Sakurai's reasoning is that "Hirai?s new global portfolio puts a predominantly software-focused manager in charge of the company." His logic is reportedly that, with the emphasis moving to software, Sony would go the way of Sega, transforming from a console-maker to a mere game publisher.

Critics were quick to point out that, despite its problems, Sony is primarily an electronics manufacturer, and has invested billions in the research and development of the PS3's technology. Despite the hyperbolic tone of Sakurai's comments, SCEA publicity chief Dave Karraker issued a polite response. "Following the launch of the PlayStation 3 just a few weeks ago, and witnessing the huge consumer demand for the product, I think it would be rather short-sighted for anyone to predict there might not be a next generation of PlayStation product," he told GameSpot.

from gamespot

Perseid
12-01-2006, 11:33 AM
Sony's current situation is absolutely nothing like Sega's was towards the end. Sony's problems all revolve around hiccups trying to launch their new system. Sega's problems were total failures of every hardware product they'd launched in years.

These industry 'experts' often don't know any more about what's going on than you and I, sometimes less. And having a Japanese name and working for a place with a fancy-pants name like "Nomura Securities" doesn't change that.

gus
12-01-2006, 11:56 AM
I agree Analyst are just paid to guess the out come or what they think will happen this was just posted for a read. All thou i know we all want the ps3 to be hacked and homebrew i can understand that my xbox 1 has xecuter 3 and homebrew apps on and emu's on the hard disk and my xbox360 has the firmwire hack. We all know the only reason any one goes to through the trouble of cracking system is for profit said but true. Being able to play backups on any system is what leads to the small things we all want homebrew and custom appz with ps1 and ps2 it was cracked to sell modchips then on ps2 came hd loader and some homebrew then on xbox 1 came the enigma and xtender 1st gen mod chips witch allowed the use to run unsigned code to play backups then xbox 360 the firmwire hack witch allowed the use of playing backupz. What im saying is all the hombrew comes from being able to play backupz atm i have not seen any ps3 games worth the effort myself and looking at gamestop.com of all the 360 and ps3 games coming out ps3 don't stop getting 360 ports untill march 2007 and start getting some of it's own games.

_zaphod_
12-01-2006, 02:04 PM
but no need to hakc ps3 for homebrew. :) an deventually an acelerated x server will pass hypervsor i think. and then no reason let to hack at all.